Models for Makers is the ultimate financial modeling course for indie makers.
Unlock higher multiples for your business.
Build something EVERY investor or acquirer will ask for.
Elevate what you are worth.
Some day, someone is going to offer you a decent sum of money to invest in or buy your business. Are you ready?
This course will take you from zero to advanced in financial modelling as an indie maker.
You taught yourself to code, design, market, and sell — because you wanted to grow your business.
Why not just take a few more days of your life to learn how to create a financial model?
This course will take you from zero to fluent in financial modelling.
📹 16 sections of video tutorials (including what you will learn)
📊 Free templates for life in both Excel and Google Sheets format
💼 Examples of spreadsheet formats that successfully created term sheets, led to VC funding rounds and raised money
🤝 A private Discord community of builders who are honing their financial valuations. Stay private with your numbers but gain the insights from the community.
🔍 A private, confidential review of your current financial model
💡 A private, confidential review of your current data room if you are raising money
📘 An e-book guide to creating amazing financial models that raise your valuation
🚀 Early adopters will get access to a live cohort where we will meet on a weekly basis and actively move the program in the Discord
There are only two ways that you can increase the value of your indie startup or SaaS business.
99.9% of courses online are courses that teach you the first way.
A digital marketing course? That’s a course about the first way.
Copywriting course? Still the first way.
E-commerce optimization? Outbound sales? Wordpress, JavaScript, no-code site building, search engine optimization…
Yeah — all these courses or products are still only teaching you about one of the two ways you can grow your business' valuation.
The majority of people who want to grow their business' valuation focus 99.9% of their actions on the “first way”.
The majority of courses produced every year, every month, every week are about the first way.
This course is about the second way.
Both ways take work. The first way is what most entrepreneurship stories are about. Years of hard work. Long nights coding. Saturdays and Sundays working out content marketing strategies, digital ad campaigns, etc.
Novels and non-fiction books are written about the pain and the journey of “the first way”.
The second way happens in the blink of an eye. It can happen over the course of an afternoon or a weekend. It requires some preparation (that is the point of this course) — but it is not a marathon.
Here’s the crazy part. The part that is so crazy it almost sounds unfair:
The ROI on the second way of growing your business value can easily have an equal or greater ROI than the first way.
What?
OK, so enough of this suspense and mystery.
What am I actually talking about?
Well, one of the hardest lessons to learn in business is that your effort doesn't necessarily match how much you earn.
This is what makes business different from earning a salaried wage, where by its very nature, your effort can go up and down week by week and your paycheck stays the same.
Business is about leverage.
The first way is about working hard to find a product or service the market wants to pay for, and then delivering that product or service to the market. Simple... sort of.
The second way is about investing a very small amount of time to build “instant leverage”.
Now, before I thoroughly define the ‘first way’ and the ‘second way’, I have one caveat.
The information I am about to share is not for everyone.
Here’s a reason this information might not be for you:
This information, and the Models for Makers course, is not for people who have $0 in revenue and are looking to get inspiration, an idea, a magical lantern that lights the way to product-market fit.
There are so many other courses for that. Email me, I’ll point you in the right direction. If you have no business and no revenue, seriously, email me, and I’ll point you to amazing courses that can help you “get started” on growing a business.
OK, with that caveat out of the way, let me define the first way and the second way.
This is going to feel like a trick answer, but I promise you this distinction is going to be worth it. Just give me two more minutes of your time before you start rolling your eyes.
OK, here goes.
The first way to grow your business’ valuation is to grow your business’ revenues and/or profits.
Well, duh.
Yes. The first way to grow your business’ valuation includes literally everything you have ever heard of about growing your business:
And on and on.
Literally everything you can think of about “growing your business” would fall under the first category. All that stuff, all that hard work — that’s the first work.
OK, enough preamble. Enough stage-setting. Enough context.
What’s the second way to grow your business’ valuation?
The second way to grow your business’ valuation is to increase the revenue or profit multiple that someone is willing to pay for it.
To achieve this goal (increasing the multiple someone is willing to pay for your business), you don’t necessarily need to do anything that falls under the first category.
I mean, yes, you do need to have built some kind of business, using the methods and tactics of the first way, to get to the point where you can leverage the power of the second way.
But the second way doesn’t take nearly as much effort.
Let’s illustrate this with an example.
Let's imagine that with blood, sweat, tears, long nights, caffeine, and a ton of work, you have been to get a business up to $40,000 MRR.
An impressive number. Even entrepreneurs who have built $100 million companies can acknowledge that getting to $40,000 MRR is a huge milestone — you're almost halfway to the magic $83,333 MRR number which indicates you are making a million dollars a year.
Rounding up a little bit, you are making half a million dollars a year before expenses.
If you have 70% profits, you are making over $300k a year. Not bad.
Now let's imagine that someone comes along and wants to buy your $40k MRR business.
Naturally, you meet with them. It’s like a first date.
Maybe they are really hot for your company, and they just blurt out a number they want to buy you for. That could happen.
But what’s more likely is that you will go on several dates before they reveal their intentions to you.
They'll look to build your trust (and their conviction), as you share more and more of your numbers, tell them more and more of your secrets.
At some point, they may let you know they are preparing to make you an offer.
Before they do this, there is often a critical moment. This moment is often literally the last thing they do before they state a number that could be the number that changes your life.
They will say something like “can you send me a quick financial model — historicals and forecasts”. They may use different lingo. They may call it a pro forma. They may ask for other attachments, Stripe receipts, stuff like that.
But what they are doing is getting really down and dirty into the numbers so they can give you a number that will change your life.
At this moment, the chess moves you make within a few hours over a few days could be nearly equal in value to the entire history of your business.
Now, let’s get back to your MRR.
Stick with me, we are going to do a bit of napkin math. It’ll be fun, I promise.
Let’s say you are doing $40,000 in MRR.
That means you are doing $480,000 in ARR (annual recurring revenue). $40,000 times 12 months in a year.
Now here is the kind of unfair, insane, crazy part.
Your buyer may have a range in their head of what multiple they are willing to offer.
Let’s say that range is between 4x revenue to 8x revenue.
Meaning depending on the quality of various factors they can see in your business, they may offer somewhere between 4x and 8x revenue.
At 4x revenue, they will make you an offer of $1,920,000 USD for your business, minus legal fees, accounting fees, paying off any bills you haven’t paid yet etc. etc.
At 8x revenue, they will make you an offer of $3,840,000 USD for your business.
That is almost a $2 million difference.
This is the second way.
The second way is about maximizing the value of your company with data-driven storytelling.
This situation where you maximize your value could be for an acquisition offer to buy your company.
But the second way also comes into play when someone wants to invest an amount of money into your company at a certain valuation. How you present your company can make you hundreds of thousands of dollars — even millions — simply by how you model the story of your company.
Here’s what I have learned in raising venture capital (and selling a company for millions of dollars one time — that’s a whole ‘nother story).
Even the best entrepreneurs — even the ones that already know how to use Excel — can mishandle the art of the second way at critical moments.
Offers get revoked and life-changing deals get incinerated, because a business owner can’t sprint at the right speed at the right moment.
A part of “the second way” is the storytelling ability and charisma of the owner. That’s part of it. How well you pitch. How well you sell the vision to an investor or buyer.
This is a financial modeling course. I am not going to teach you the part where you charm investors in the first place. That's a complex topic and there are other courses for that.
But there is another storytelling asset that comes into play literally 99% of the time. It’s unavoidable. Like emergency health insurance, it’s something you probably weren’t thinking too much about until it becomes absolutely critical to have it.
It’s your business’ financial model. A wonderful story told through Excel or Google Sheets tabs. A story that has a past, a present, and a future.
How well you tell this story: the past (your verified historical financial performance), the present (a snapshot of where things are at this month) and the future (forward-looking estimates of how your business can grow) is a HUGE part of whether that buyer or investor deems you to be a 4x or an 8x.
Whether you get $2 million extra, or don’t.
Or — if your business is ten times bigger, whether you get $20 million extra... or don’t.
Models for Makers was created to help you to absolutely crush it at telling this story.
Yes, at a tactical level, this course is about upping your Excel skills and helping you build cash flow projections. You will learn that stuff.
But this course is about much more (coming from someone who has taken a business from nothing to being acquired by a private equity group).
This course is about turning you into a VALUATION WARRIOR.
Someone who feels confident that when the time comes, over those short but critical hours and days of negotiation — you will be able to extract more value out of your company, however you decide to do that.
The Internet in 2024 is bursting at the seams with courses, videos, and products that will help you grow your business the first way.
Models for Makers is about the second way.
Try this for yourself. Enter your Monthly Recurring Revenue (MRR), or any MRR, to explore how much your outcome can change with a different multiple.
Lesson 1: Why do financial models matter for startups and indie makers?
Lesson 2: Cash is king, if you run out of cash you will go out of business
Lesson 3: Modeling helps you plan which activities to focus on
Lesson 4: Modeling helps you understand your pricing
Lesson 5: Modeling helps you plan your hiring and contractors
Lesson 6: Modeling helps you understand how much your company is worth
Lesson 7: Modeling helps you advocate for higher valuations from investors and buyers
Lesson 1: Starting up and naming a spreadsheet in Google Sheets
Lesson 2: Starting up, naming and saving a spreadsheet in Microsoft Excel
Lesson 3: Creating our first multi-tab spreadsheet in Google Sheets
Lesson 4: File formats and saving spreadsheets
Lesson 5: Keyboard shortcuts
Lesson 1: Using SUM() to Add Numbers
Lesson 2: Calculating Average with AVERAGE()
Lesson 3: Deciding with IF() Statements
Lesson 4: Looking Up Data with VLOOKUP()
Lesson 5: Combining text with CONCATENATE()
Superpower: Excel and Google Sheets will not be scary at all
Superpower: Functions will make sense to you
Superpower: You will be ready to create your first financial model
Lesson 1: Introducing Supermodels Inc.: Our Case Study
Lesson 2: Inputting Historical Data
Lesson 3: Forecasting Monthly Revenues
Lesson 4: Estimating monthly costs
Lesson 5: Calculating net profit
Lesson 1: Introduction to gross revenue: calculating total sales
Lesson 2: Net Revenue: accounting for discounts and returns
Lesson 3: Understanding variable and fixed Revenues in business models
Lesson 4: Adding revenue streams: recurring vs. one-time Sales
Lesson 1: Breaking Down COGS: The Cost of Producing Goods Sold
Lesson 2: Operating Expenses (OPEX): Running the Business Day-to-Day
Lesson 3: Variable Costs: Expenses That Fluctuate with Sales Volume
Lesson 4: Fixed Costs: Understanding Regular, Unchanging Expenses
Lesson 1: Calculating gross margin: revenue minus COGS
Lesson 2: Understanding EBITDA: earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization
Lesson 3: Net Profit: The bottom line after all expenses
Lesson 4: Profit and Loss Statement: a comprehensive overview
Superpower: Mastering case study analysis with Supermodels Inc.
Superpower: Efficiently inputting and managing historical data for insightful analysis
Superpower: Forecasting revenues and costs with precision, setting the stage for accurate financial planning
Superpower: Creating comprehensive profit and loss statements, unveiling the financial health of any project
Lesson 1: Understanding the difference: income statement vs. cash flow
Lesson 2: Timing differences in revenue recognition
Lesson 3: How expenses are recorded: accrual vs. cash basis
Lesson 4: The impact of accounts receivable and payable on cash flow
Lesson 1: Understanding revenue recognition
Lesson 2: Exploring expense recording
Lesson 3: Distinguishing between accrual and cash Basis
Lesson 4: Managing accounts receivable
Lesson 5: Handling accounts payable
Lesson 6: Reconciling income and cash flow statements
Lesson 1: Integrating the balance sheet
Lesson 2: Building assets: current and fixed
Lesson 3: Accounting for liabilities
Lesson 4: Equity: shareholder's equity and retained earnings
Lesson 5: Linking balance sheet with income statement
Lesson 6: Consolidating financial statements: the big picture
Lesson 1: Choosing a clean and professional layout
Lesson 2: Implementing effective color coding
Lesson 3: Utilizing conditional formatting for clarity
Lesson 4: Incorporating charts and graphs for visualization
Lesson 5: Setting up data validation for accuracy
Lesson 6: Creating an interactive dashboard
Superpower: Navigating the complexities of income vs. cash, ensuring a solid understanding of business finances.
Superpower: Expertly separating cash flows from revenue streams, providing clarity in financial reporting.
Superpower: Adding and interpreting the balance sheet, completing the financial statement trio for comprehensive analysis.
Superpower: Styling financial models for both aesthetics and functionality, making your data not only insightful but visually compelling.
Lesson 1: Understanding growth metrics
Lesson 2: Projecting revenue growth
Lesson 3: Modeling variable and fixed costs
Lesson 4: Incorporating inflation factors
Lesson 5: Advanced revenue forecasting techniques
Lesson 6: Cost projections with scaling operations
Lesson 7: Long-term asset planning
Lesson 8: Debt and equity financing projections
Lesson 9: Sensitivity analysis in forecasting
Lesson 10: Scenario planning: best, expected, and worst case
Lesson 11: Integrating tax implications in projections
Lesson 1: SaaS revenue forecasting: subscription models
Lesson 2: Analyzing usage-based revenue streams
Lesson 3: E-commerce sales projections
Lesson 4: Churn rate impact on SaaS revenue
Lesson 5: Cost of goods sold (COGS) in e-commerce
Lesson 6: Lifetime value (LTV) and customer acquisition cost (CAC) analysis
Lesson 7: Revenue recognition in usage-based models
Lesson 8: Inventory management and forecasting for e-commerce
Lesson 9: Pricing strategy analysis for SaaS and usage-based models
Lesson 10: Marketing and advertising expense forecasting
Lesson 11: Gross margin analysis for e-commerce
Lesson 1: Base, optimistic, and pessimistic scenario planning
Lesson 2: Impact of market changes on revenue
Lesson 3: Cost variability in different economic conditions
Lesson 4: Sensitivity analysis for key drivers
Lesson 5: Modeling competitive entry scenarios
Lesson 6: Regulatory changes and their financial impact
Lesson 7: Technology disruption and adaptation costs
Lesson 8: Demand fluctuations and inventory management
Lesson 9: Exchange rate fluctuations and global market impact
Lesson 10: Environmental and social factors in long-term planning
Lesson 11: Debt and equity scenarios in market shifts
Superpower: Forecasting growth with precision across SaaS, usage-based, and AI business models, identifying trends and opportunities.
Superpower: Understanding and applying advanced revenue forecasting techniques, enabling more accurate financial planning.
Superpower: Adapting to market changes with agile forecasting models for SaaS, usage-based businesses, and AI-driven ventures, ensuring resilience and adaptability.
Lesson 1: Understanding the story behind the numbers
Lesson 2: Focusing on sustainable growth, not just quick wins
Lesson 3: Assessing market fit and customer loyalty
Lesson 4: Cash burn rate and runway realities; strategic partnerships and network leverage
Lesson 5: Product development and innovation cycles; customer churn and retention insights
Lesson 6: Realistic revenue projections over optimistic forecasts
Lesson 7: Cost management without cutting corners
Lesson 8: Navigating funding options with diligence
Lesson 9: Building a resilient business model and pitching your financials
Lesson 1: Revenue consistency and predictability; customer base diversification and stability
Lesson 2: Scalability of the business model; operational efficiency and margin strength
Lesson 3: Ease of integration with existing systems
Lesson 4: Intellectual property and proprietary technology
Lesson 5: Organizational structure and team competency; compliance, legal, and regulatory aspects
Lesson 6: Historical growth patterns and future potential
Lesson 7: Vendor and supplier relationships
Lesson 8: Brand strength and market reputation; post-acquisition integration and strategy
Lesson 1: Regular review and update cycles
Lesson 2: Adapting models to changing market conditions
Lesson 3: Incorporating actuals to refine forecasts
Lesson 4: Scenario revisiting: adapting to new information
Lesson 5: Stakeholder communication: keeping everyone informed
Lesson 6: Course summary: key takeaways and future steps
Superpower: Understanding deeply what investors look for in a business, from sustainable growth to market fit, preparing you to secure funding with confidence.
Superpower: Knowing what buyers prioritize, from revenue consistency to scalability, equipping you to negotiate sales or acquisitions from a position of strength.
Superpower: Wrapping up the course with a comprehensive understanding of financial modeling, growth forecasting, and stakeholder communication, ready to apply your knowledge to real-world business challenges.